Fantasy football highs and lows from NFL Week 4 – Tom Brady comes up big – ESPN

Week 4 of the fantasy football season featured plenty of notable performances around the NFL on Sunday. What should we make of them? Matt Bowen and Tristan H. Cockcroft are here with analysis on the biggest performers — and duds — of the week.


Tom Brady back in the top-10 fantasy QB mix

Judging by the returns in the first 3½ weeks of the season, it didn’t seem possible that Brady could rally in the fashion that he did in Week 4. Despite missing Chris Godwin and Leonard Fournette, both of whom were hurt, in addition to losing Mike Evans, O.J. Howard and LeSean McCoy for portions of the game and throwing a pick-six, Brady orchestrated a 38-31 comeback win against a very good, albeit injury-ravaged, Los Angeles Chargers defense. Brady completed four touchdowns during the second half alone, resulting in 32.5 fantasy points, his best single-game total since Week 3 of the 2017 season (35.7). Maybe it’s the turning point in his season, though it’s important to point out that he has a similarly challenging assignment against the Chicago Bears in Week 5. Brady has inched himself back toward the top 10 fantasy starters for next week, but I’d be more all-in for his Week 6 game against a bad Green Bay Packers secondary. — Cockcroft

Tristan, the Bucs established some rhythm in the pass game during the second half on Sunday, and they attacked vertically, scheming up the Chargers defense. For me, that’s a really positive sign for Brady given how disjointed this Tampa Bay offense has looked to start the season. — Bowen

Joe Mixon posts his best fantasy week ever

He didn’t merely set a career best with 42.1 PPR fantasy points, he obliterated his previous best of 30.6, set in Week 17 of 2019, and scored nearly 15 more points than he did in Weeks 1-3 combined (27.2). Mixon hadn’t been hurting for opportunity, his 59 touches entering the day tied for eighth most in the league, but a combination of tough matchups, a chest injury of his own and injury absences of some of his offensive linemen — but not necessarily all three factors within the same game — caused him to average a miserable 0.46 points per touch. Game flow had a lot to do with the performance, as Mixon touched the football 31 times — 25 rushing attempts and a perfect 6-of-6 catching his targets — but he also looked like a much better runner in this one, converting 34- and 23-yard carries for touchdowns. The Bengals’ struggles seem to hold Mixon back from being a true, locked-in top-10 fantasy running back every week, but he has both the talent and volume to warrant it. — Cockcroft

Big changes could be coming to Cleveland’s backfield

Nick Chubb scored 4.3 fantasy points on six rushing attempts before exiting Sunday’s game late in the first quarter after he had his leg rolled up upon while pass blocking. Considering he required assistance getting off the field, his knee injury is one of the major concerns exiting Week 4, as he is due for an MRI exam. Should Chubb miss extended time, Kareem Hunt, who has 69.7 PPR fantasy points this season on 58 touches spread across only 88 snaps (plus Sunday’s count that remains pending), would see a boost in his usage and potentially reach the RB1 rankings tier. It’s likely that D’Ernest Johnson will be used a decent share as a rusher, making him one of the Week 5 top pickups, but Hunt would get the most fantasy-relevant boost in the event of a Chubb long-term injury. — Cockcroft

CeeDee Lamb isn’t playing like a rookie

With two touchdowns Sunday among five receptions for 79 yards, Lamb should be a weekly play as a WR3 in a Dallas system that will continue to throw with volume given its subpar defense. Lamb has now seen at least six targets in every game this season, and the Cowboys are also manufacturing touches for the rookie on screens and jet sweeps. — Bowen

Agreed, Matt, and while I think some might worry about Lamb’s mere 14% target share (26 of 198), that 198 Cowboys team target total tells a lot of the story. Lamb is on pace for 104 targets, which is plenty for him to make a WR3 impact, and he’s still one of my favorites of the 2020 rookie wide receiver class from a year-over-year perspective. — Cockcroft

Justin Herbert shines … again

Yeah, Herbert missed on the late-game interception throw — it looked like the Chargers quarterback sailed that ball into zone coverage. However, the rookie was pretty dialed in Sunday versus the Bucs, completing 20 of 25 passes for 290 yards and three touchdowns — which included an absolute rocket ball off play-action on a 72 yard score. The arm talent is jumping here, and he’s throwing the ball with efficiency in this Chargers offense. We see Herbert as a matchup-dependent QB2, but the ceiling is climbing here for the rook. — Bowen

In this era of mobile quarterbacks, it’s no longer uncommon to find passers who succeed from a fantasy perspective quickly at the NFL level. Still, Herbert has now scored 59.9 fantasy points in his first three career starts, which places a respectable 19th since at least 1950, and he has done that despite only 10.7 of them coming from rushing plays. — Cockcroft

Austin Ekeler‘s injury alters Chargers’ plans

As if Chubb’s injury wasn’t enough, the Chargers lost Ekeler to a hamstring injury, and one that required him to be carted off the sidelines. In Ekeler’s absence, Joshua Kelley ran nine times and Justin Jackson six, though it’s important to remember that the opposing Buccaneers are one of the toughest defenses against the run and the Chargers’ offensive line played poorly. Kelley is the guy I want if Ekeler’s injury is a long-term one, and he’s an absolute top add in the 43% of ESPN leagues in which he remains available. Keep this in mind: Kelley has six of nine goal-to-go rushing attempts for the Chargers this season, so the team already seemed to trust him in key situations. — Cockcroft


Quick-hitters

Odell Beckham Jr., WR, Cleveland Browns: Beckham lit up the Dallas defense Sunday for 154 total yards — and three touchdowns — on just seven touches. It started with the gadget call on the reverse pass from wide receiver Jarvis Landry for a score. Attack the safety there. He also ripped off a 50-yard touchdown run on a reverse. I thought the play speed of Beckham really jumped Sunday, and the Browns did scheme touches for him. However, in a run-heavy Cleveland offense, Beckham will stay as an upper-tier WR2 in my rankings heading into a Week 5 matchup versus the Colts. — Bowen

Dak Prescott, QB, Dallas Cowboys: We’ve seen Mike McCarthy’s influence on the Cowboys’ offense this season. More pass game volume, more vertical concepts. And that philosophy has really spiked given Dallas’ subpar defense. In the past two weeks, Prescott has thrown 115 passes due to negative game flow where the Cowboys are falling behind multiple scores. — Bowen

Mike Davis, RB, Carolina Panthers: Until Christian McCaffrey is back on the field for Carolina, you can roll with Davis as a solid RB2 in the lineup. Look, he’s getting the volume in Joe Brady’s offense, and we are seeing that he can make an impact in the pass game. Over the past two weeks, Davis has registered 202 total yards — on 42 touches — with two scores. And he’s caught 13 of 15 targets for 72 yards. Davis gets the Atlanta defense in Week 5, a favorable matchup for the Panthers running back. — Bowen

DK Metcalf, WR, Seattle Seahawks: Metcalf is going to hang around that WR1/WR2 line in PPR formats. But if you play in a non-PPR league, Metcalf should be locked in as a WR1 given the vertical pass game in Seattle, plus his explosive play traits after the catch. After posting 106 yards receiving — on four grabs — in Sunday’s victory over Miami, Metcalf has now produced at least 92 yards receiving in every game this season. And his route tree continues to grow in this Seahawks offense. — Bowen

Kenyan Drake, RB, Arizona Cardinals: Was he Week 4’s biggest disappointment? We shall see when the week’s returns are fully in, but with a 15.5 PPR fantasy point ESPN projection, Drake’s 3.5 points on 13 touches, all of them rushing attempts, has to be considered a top candidate, considering the opposing Panthers entered having allowed 128.5 points to opposing running backs, second most in the league (Las Vegas Raiders, 133.5). He got three of the Cardinals’ four rushing attempts in goal-to-go situations, getting stuffed on the one chance he had at the goal line, and failed to record a run of 10 yards. Worse yet, Drake exited the game on the final drive with an injury, and while initial indications were that it isn’t serious, it casts some doubt upon his status as even an RB2 for Week 5 against the Jets. It’d be a wise move to add Chase Edmonds, just in case. — Cockcroft

Mark Andrews, TE, Baltimore Ravens: This was a bounce-back week for Andrews after a couple key drops in the Monday night loss to Kansas City. The Ravens tight end caught three passes for 57 yards — with two touchdown grabs on high-red zone throws from Lamar Jackson. And, really, that’s the area of the field where Andrews usually cashes in. Seams and over routes when Baltimore is controlling the tempo of the game. — Bowen

Justin Jefferson, WR, Minnesota Vikings: In his past two games, the rookie has caught 11 of 14 targets for 278 yards. Run the over routes off play-action, win the isolation matchups. And with an upcoming Week 5 game versus a Seattle defense that has struggled to limit pass-game numbers, Jefferson will jump into WR2/WR3 mix. — Bowen

Antonio Gibson, RB, Washington Football Team: Gibson posted season highs in touches (17) and total yards (128) on Sunday in Washington’s loss to Baltimore, which included goal-line carries and scripted targets in the pass game. Gibson has now scored a touchdown in three consecutive games, and the volume is increasing to fit his versatile traits at the position. Consider Gibson a RB2 in the Week 5 matchup with the Rams. — Bowen

Darren Waller, TE, Las Vegas Raiders: The Patriots’ defense game-planned to take Waller out of the route tree in Week 4, limiting the tight end to just nine yards receiving. However, in Sunday’s matchup versus Buffalo, Waller was back in the mix, catching nine of a team-high 11 targets for 88 yards. He remains Derek Carr’s No. 1 option in the Raiders’ pass game. — Bowen

T.Y. Hilton, WR, Indianapolis Colts: For the second time in four weeks, Hilton was held to under 50 yards receiving, catching 3-of-5 targets for 29 yards in the win over the Bears. The Colts’ pass game is limited vertically with Philip Rivers at quarterback, and Hilton isn’t seeing enough volume on shallows or intermediate throws to carry value as a fantasy starter. — Bowen

Colts Defense/Special Teams: While it wasn’t the kind of dominating performance we saw in Week 3, the Colts’ eight points from their team defense/special teams helped them extend their lead in fantasy points, their 58 points 20 better than the No. 2 unit (Buccaneers). The Colts’ D/ST has been a start-worthy team in each of their four games, and considering that their next two games come against the Browns and Bengals, they’re one of the few defenses that should be locked into your lineup. That said, keep a close eye on the status of linebacker Darius Leonard, who left with a groin injury near the end of the first half. The Colts continued to look strong on defense even after Leonard’s absence, but the Browns, who put up 49 points on Sunday, could cause them some trouble if their defensive leader is absent. — Cockcroft

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